The Israel-Iran conflict impacts Armenia and Azerbaijan, forcing them to balance regional powers while managing diaspora vulnerabilities.
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The Israel-Iran conflict is reshaping regional security dynamics in the South Caucasus, significantly impacting both Azerbaijan and Armenia. Azerbaijan has historically maintained a non-alignment policy while balancing relations with regional powers like Iran, Russia, Israel, and the US. Armenia is concerned about losing Iran’s support for its territorial integrity and fears Azerbaijan might exploit the conflict for aggression. The conflict has also exposed Armenian and Azerbaijani diasporas to risks, as seen with diverted flights.
Iran has shown consistent support for Armenia’s territorial integrity through high-level diplomatic engagements in 2025, emphasizing border management and mutual connection. Armenia, in response to the conflict, has condemned Israeli actions, and the country is monitoring potential radiation risks.
Azerbaijan’s relations with Israel have deepened, marked by high-level meetings and cooperation in defense and mediation. Azerbaijan is also playing a role as a mediator between Turkey and Israel.
Regarding Azerbaijan’s role, it has strongly denied allegations of involvement in Israeli operations against Iran, reaffirming its neutrality. Azerbaijan and Iran have significantly improved bilateral ties in 2025 through high-level visits and strategic cooperation, focusing on infrastructure projects like the North-South International Transport Corridor. These developments show a shift from previous tensions, culminating in joint military exercises, although the region remains volatile due to the ongoing conflict.
