Russia's war machine is collapsing, and it will drag the country down with it.

9 July 2026

EOM

Russia’s war in Ukraine strains its economy and social contract, risking national decline despite Putin’s demands.

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[This is an automatically generated summary, for reference only]

The war in Ukraine is causing Russia significant problems, including rising prices, stagnant wages, business closures, and major companies requesting bailouts. Furthermore, Russia has reportedly suffered 1.4 million casualties on the front lines. Despite President Vladimir Putin continuing to demand Ukraine’s surrender, this cycle could lead Russia to lose the war and potentially the country itself. While the invasion provided short-term benefits to a few and offered temporary economic relief through oil from the Iran conflict, the general population is suffering. Consequently, the social contract between Putin and the Russian people is deteriorating due to economic hardship, military mobilization, repression, internet blackouts, daily drone attacks, and recent fuel crises.

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