Dodon and the far-right: who might win in Moldova, and what threat does this pose to Ukraine?

23 September 2025

Key dates for Ukraine’s EU integration are tied to elections in Hungary (2026) and Moldova (2025), with Moldova’s political shifts posing risks.

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[This is an automatically generated summary, for reference only]

Ukraine’s EU integration is tied to key dates related to its neighboring countries, specifically the Hungarian parliamentary elections on April 12, 2026, which could lift Hungary’s veto on pro-Ukrainian EU decisions, and the Moldovan elections on September 28, 2025. The outcome in Moldova is crucial not only for Moldova but also for Ukraine, as Russian scenarios could involve hybrid elements or logistical destabilization affecting Moldova’s role in trade and military transit. The text analyzes the shifting political landscape in Moldova, noting that while the ruling party PAS is favored, the “Alternative” bloc may fail to pass the electoral threshold, potentially weakening the pro-Russian coalition. Furthermore, a nationalist party with ties to Russian interests could gain traction through a network of payments. Despite these risks, the article suggests that the current Moldovan government maintains significant importance for Ukraine due to its ongoing logistical and potential reconstruction support. The overall integration path for both countries is presented as interconnected, with Moldova’s situation potentially affecting Ukraine’s EU aspirations.


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