Central Asia’s long-standing pro-Russia alignment is shifting following Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, changing regional dynamics.
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Central Asia has maintained a pro-Russia orientation since its independence from the Soviet Union in 1991. Despite initial perceptions that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine would not affect the region, these relations are changing. The five Central Asian states share similar governance characteristics, including centralized power, strong presidential authority, state economic intervention, and close links between politics and wealth. Their deep connection with Russia is a two-way process: since 1991, they viewed Russia as the successor to the Soviet Union, granting it influence over their development paths through an attitude characterized by belief in Russian superiority and Central Asian compliance, which differs from the more varied attitudes toward Russia found in other post-Soviet regions.
