Post-Assad Syria and Russian energy shifts create opportunities; Azerbaijan expands regional energy and diplomatic ties.
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The geopolitical landscape between the Middle East and Central Asia is shifting due to the regime change in Syria and Russia’s reduced energy supplies to Europe. With the fall of the Assad regime, Russia is seeking to protect its remaining interests, particularly its military and naval bases. Previously, Russia’s role in Syria was crucial for maintaining its monopoly on the European gas market. However, the changing scenario, coupled with Russia’s withdrawal from the European fossil fuel market, presents opportunities for alternative energy projects. Azerbaijan is capitalizing on this by supplying gas to several European countries. Diplomatic efforts have seen the reopening of Azerbaijani embassies and high-level meetings between Azerbaijani and Syrian officials, leading to Azerbaijan supplying gas to Syria via Turkey. Azerbaijan is also reviving interest in the Qatar gas project, and recent meetings in Shanghai and Qatar have focused on strengthening energy, transport, and investment cooperation between Azerbaijan, Turkey, and Qatar, including energy projects in Syria.
